MT Sports

Experts predict Arsenal will lose at Everton Stadium

Published:2023-09-16 By Duy Đoàn(MetaSports) Comments
On Sky Sports, expert Lewis Jones said that a surprise will happen at Goodison Park in round 5 of the Premier League this week.

However, this weekend's away trip to the long-standing Goodison Park stadium promises many hardships. The audience at Everton's stadium is always enthusiastic and that could be an important factor affecting the outcome of this match.

In the last 19 matches played at 4:30 p.m. (London time) on Monday, Everton are unbeaten in 17 matches. In those 19 matches, they won 11, including wins at the underdog against Man Utd in 2012, Chelsea in 2019 and Arsenal in 2021.

Looking at Arsenal's away record in the last five matches, when they did not win and lost four, I am even more confident that Everton will get points. In my opinion, Everton will move up the scoreboard in the next few weeks with a healthy and mobile striker like Beto. He was the best player on the field in the opening 60 minutes of Sheffield United's 2-2 draw. In my opinion, Everton will win 1-0.

The roar of the machine created by Jurgen Klopp has returned. That image was fully demonstrated in the devastating 3-0 win over Aston Villa. Even though I just went through the national team training period, I don't think the morale of Klopp's team will lessen.

If Liverpool continues to play so crazy and coldly in the opponent's half, they can score two or three goals in the blink of an eye. Despite being away, Liverpool can very well win this match, as shown by the -2 handicap that Sky Bet has placed on them. I believe Liverpool wins 3-0.

In the last 21 matches in all competitions, against Man City, Man Utd, Liverpool, Chelsea, Newcastle, Tottenham and Arsenal, Brighton won 12 matches. The total score was 38-27 in their favor. The bookmaker gives Brighton a one-two bet when away at Man Utd - the team is unstable and often makes mistakes. To me, this is an attractive ratio.

However, with Rasmus Hojlund, Man Utd has a very formidable striker. The Danish striker's debut against Arsenal did not end happily, but Hojlund appeared unfazed. With an active kicking style and quite comprehensive play, the 20-year-old striker made things difficult for Gabriel - one of the most physically fit centre-backs in the Premier League. The person Brighton assigns to take care of Hojlund will probably be Lewis Dunk.

Dunk was called up to the England team and played 90 minutes in the win over Scotland on September 12. He is one of the central defenders with the fewest fouls in England with 19 fouls in the last 12 matches at club and team level. In the last 25 matches, Dunk only fouled an average of 0.4 times per match. But against Hojlund, this number can spike.

I think Man Utd will continue to disappoint even though they play at home and lose their second match in a row. I think Brighton will win 2-1.

Next to Sheffield, Tottenham is expected to continue that form. In four matches played, Tottenham scored at least two goals in each match. Last round, they scored against Burnley five times. This makes me evaluate this as the match most likely to have the most goals this round, besides the Wolves - Liverpool match.

Sheffield United are well organised, but they are considered to have a weak attack. Therefore, even though Tottenham faced 19 shots on target against Burnley, Bournemouth, Man Utd and Brentford, Postecoglou can still be somewhat confident. In the 2-2 draw with Everton in the previous round, at least, Sheffield showed a bright spot in Gustavo Hamer's position. The Dutch midfielder coordinates well with striker Oli McBurnie - Cameron Archer and is one of the most diligent players in the Sheffield squad.

In my opinion, Sheffield will score. But Tottenham still won big, maybe with a score of 4-1.

West Ham has a chance to win four consecutive Premier League matches for the first time in nearly two years. They are having their best start to the season since 1999, under Harry Redknapp. However, to maintain their form, West Ham will have to overcome opponents they have lost 12 of the last 15 encounters.

Stopping Man City's attack will be the top priority for Moyes and his team. In seven of the last eight encounters, West Ham conceded at least twice by Man City. "Sledgehammer" also failed to keep a clean sheet in the last seven matches in all competitions. For Man City, this away trip will be a boost for them before their Champions League opening match midweek against Red Star Belgrade.

I don't think the match will have many goals, although both teams' attacks have been quite impressive up to this point. I even believe that there will only be one goal scored, and the team that does it will be Man City.

Next to Brighton will be another difficult match for Eddie Howe and his team, and goalkeeper Nick Pope's declining form is a problem for "Chich Choe". In the last 15 matches in the Premier League, Pope only kept one clean sheet. Looking at the data of the last six matches, it can be seen that Newcastle's number of shots on target and expected goals conceded are getting worse and worse. This shows that Pope can no longer maintain the excellent form that helped Newcastle reach the top four last season.

The 31-year-old goalkeeper also made a mistake in the first goal lost against Brighton and was not called up to the England team. Pope's form is one of the reasons why it is more difficult for Newcastle to win. This is also a weakness Brentford can exploit in the next match.

The away team is in good form, unbeaten through four rounds. In fact, Brentford has never lost in nine Premier League matches when main striker Ivan Toney was absent and Bryan Mbeumo scored nine goals in those matches. Since the start of last season, Mbeumo has scored every 90 minutes without Toney on the field. Therefore, I think the match will have many goals and the two teams will draw 2-2.

Those who love Chelsea can put their faith in the great opportunities they created this season. 11 chances, no other team created that many. But that is just evidence that Mauricio Pochettino and his team are gradually improving their playing style but are missing out on too much.

Chelsea clearly lacks good finishers. This is a problem that is difficult to improve if the players themselves cannot do it, no matter how good the indicators for creating opportunities are. I'm sure scoring goals will still be a problem for Chelsea if the factors in the attack remain the same. Since October 2022, matches with Chelsea in the Premier League have seen 78 goals scored, the lowest in the league if not counting the three relegated teams. On average, each match they play has 2.16 goals scored. In addition, Chelsea has only scored more than one goal seven times in the last 33 matches in all competitions.

I have faith in betting four to five if the match has less than 2.5 goals, especially when Bournemouth is still struggling to find an identity under Andoni Iraola. Only Sheffield United and Burnley have created fewer big chances than Bournemouth this season. They didn't even create any chances in two home matches against West Ham and Tottenham.

At this point, the Premier League has gone through 51 matches since the last time there was a 0-0 draw. And I believe this score will be repeated in this match.

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