Man City has the highest possibility of winning the Champions League

A 3-0 victory over Bayern in the first leg at the Etihad Stadium gives Man City a 95% chance of reaching the semi-finals. There they could meet Real Madrid or Chelsea. The probability for Man City to reach the final is also up to 67%. Their chance of winning is currently 51%, higher than the percentage of the other seven teams combined.

With a two-goal advantage after the first leg, Real Madrid and Inter also have a 91% chance of reaching the semi-finals. But due to the same branch of Man City, Real only has a 28% chance of reaching the final, and Inter has a 44% probability of going to the final match. However, Real's championship rate is still higher, at 18%, with Inter's 12%.

Leading a goal after the first leg, Milan has a 58% chance of reaching the semi-finals, and a 26% chance of reaching the final, slightly better than Napoli. However, Napoli's championship chance is still higher, at 8%, compared to Milan's 6%.

The remaining teams including Bayern, Benfica and Chelsea have less than 10% chance of reaching the semi-finals, and 2% chance of winning the title.

FiveThirtyEight is a statistics website, famous for predicting the US Presidential election. They also built a football club hierarchy, based on the results of the matches. Based on this table, they simulated 20,000 times for the possibilities, from which the probability of going forward was calculated.

An English bookie under Sky Sports also appreciates the possibility of Man City winning the championship, the rate is 1/1 (set one to one), Real is also second with the rate of 4/1, and Inter and Napoli are 13/2. . Milan only has a ratio of 12/1 even in the easier branch.

Man City has never won the Champions League, and coach Pep Guardiola has not won it with any other team besides Barca. If they take the throne this season, Manchester will be the first city in England to have two teams win the Champions League, when Man Utd have won three times in 1968, 1999 and 2008.