Man Utd is on the verge of winning the most Europa League
The second leg series of the 1/8 round on the evening of March 16 determines eight teams entering the quarterfinals of the Europa League 2022-2023 including Man Utd, Juventus, Roma, Sevilla, Bayer Leverkusen, Sporting, Feyenoord and Union Saint-Gilloise, in UEFA order. ascending.
In particular, the Belgian representative Saint-Gilloise is the only team outside the Top 40 European clubs, at 105. This is also their first season in the European Cup, after finishing second in the Belgian Championship last season. .
According to the simulation of fivethirtyeight, the probability of Man Utd winning is 23%, while Juventus and Sporting are behind with a 15% chance of being crowned. Roma has only an 11% chance of winning the title, while the most successful team in the Sevilla tournament has only a 5% chance of winning the title.
Before the series of matches on the evening of March 16, Arsenal was the team with the highest possibility of winning, up to 26%. However, Mikel Arteta's teachers and students lost to Sporting in a penalty shootout and were eliminated, in the match at the Emirates Stadium, leaving pillars such as Thomas Partey, Martin Odegaard and Bukayo Saka in reserve. Another team that was once appreciated, Barca with a 20% chance of winning the championship before the first knockout round, was also eliminated by Man Utd shortly after.
At 19:00 tonight, March 17, UEFA will draw the draw for the quarter-finals. Teams from the same group or from the same country can still meet, without exception. The team drawn first will play the first leg at home. Immediately after that, UEFA will draw the semi-finals, and the team is considered the host of the final at Puskas Stadium, Budapest, Hungary on May 31.
Saint-Gilloise has never met any of the seven remaining opponents in UEFA competitions. In addition, the pairs Sevilla - Leverkusen, Feyenoord - Leverkusen and Roma - Juventus have never been solved in the European tournament. The most popular matchup between these eight teams is Man Utd - Juventus, with 14 matches and equal stats. "Red Devils" won six, drew two, lost six, scored 17 goals and conceded 17 times.
In addition to Saint-Gilloise, the remaining seven teams have all reached the final of the Europa League, or formerly the UEFA Cup, at least once. Sevilla has the most achievements with six championships, the most recent being 2020. Roma and Sporting reached the finals in 1991 and 2005 respectively, but never won. Juventus has been crowned three times, Feyenoord has two titles, and Man Utd and Leverkusen have won once each.
The first leg of the Europa League quarter-finals takes place on April 13, and the second leg a week later. The first leg of the semi-finals will be played on 11/5, the second leg is also after a week. Teams play in the form of home - away, excluding the away table rule, and the team that loses in these two rounds will be eliminated.
