The situation of the English Premier League before the closing round
Man Utd's 4-1 victory over Chelsea in the match on the evening of May 25 means four tickets to the Champions League and two tickets to the Europa League next season of the Premier League have been arranged. Except for the competition for third and fourth place between Man Utd and Newcastle, the other positions in the top 6 will remain unchanged regardless of the final round results.
Man Utd are two points ahead of Newcastle. They need to beat Fulham to be sure of third. Newcastle can take this position, if they win at Chelsea and Man Utd draw or lose.
Liverpool are certainly fifth, with Brighton sixth. Therefore, the confrontation between Jurgen Klopp's teachers and students and the bottom team Southampton will only have procedural significance. But the Aston Villa - Brighton match affects the final European Cup qualification.
Villa is one of three teams competing for a place in the Conference League, along with Tottenham and Brentford. Of these, Unai Emery's teachers and students were the brightest, with one point ahead of Tottenham and two points from Brentford. According to Opta's calculations, Villa have a 64.9% chance of finishing the season in seventh place, 27.8% finishing eighth and 7.3% finishing ninth.
But English football could have an eighth team in next season's European Cups. That is West Ham, the team that reached the Conference League final and will face Fiorentina on June 7. If they win, the "sledgehammer" will win tickets to the Europa League next season.
In the bottom half of the scoreboard, the bottom team of Southampthon is definitely relegated. The remaining two slots belong to Everton, Leicester or Leeds. Thanks to two more points than the remaining two teams, Everton's relegation door is the brightest with a 79.7% chance of 17th, 16.5% of 18th and 3.8% of 19th. Sean Dyche's team will take on Bournemouth .
Of the three teams mentioned above, Leicester have the best goal difference (-18 while Everton -24 and Leeds -27). Therefore, "Foxes" need to beat West Ham in the final round, and hope Everton do not win. Leeds will be relegated if they win Tottenham, while Everton lose and Leicester do not win. In the event that Everton draw, Leeds need to win by four goals. This is unlikely because Tottenham also need points to compete for seventh place.
